Economic Navigator: Trump’s New Trading Policy and What it Means for Your Business

Published May 9, 2025
The Trump Administration’s new changes to global trade policy mark a notable shift from targeted tariffs utilized in recent decades and could impact supply chains and business in both the goods and services sectors.
Tariffs were critical in the United States’ early years, acting as a primary revenue stream prior to the establishment of income and excise taxes. Tariffs were later used to protect nascent industries by decreasing international competition in domestic markets, acting as a revenue stream, and to negotiate trade agreements abroad.¹
The current imposed flat rate 10% duty tariffs are a significant increase from prior average duties of around 3%.¹ Though higher retaliatory rates are paused as of April 9², uncertainty surrounding reciprocal tariffs and their effect on supply chains are expected to require restructuring in varying capacities. Additionally, tariffs on U.S. service industries abroad, as well as recently proposed U.S. tariffs on ‘foreign-produced’ films could generate additional unexpected shockwaves.³

Estimates of revenue raised over the next 10 years from the new tariffs range from $2 trillion to over $5 trillion. However, these gains could be accompanied by reduced GDP and job growth.⁴⁺⁵

Georgia ranks 7th in the United States for total goods exports, worth $53.1 billion, and 6th in the nation in total trade, at $198.7 billion. Georgia’s robust service sector, led by financial and payment processing providers as well as professional service providers, carries a trade surplus of $27 billion.⁶ High tariffs, particularly in Georgia’s top trade sectors including automobiles, aerospace and medical manufacturing, alongside decreased agriculture exports, and global retaliatory measures could have significant and widespread economic consequences throughout the state.⁷

For more information on impacts to Georgia-specific industries, click HERE to read the Georgia Chamber report The Impact of U.S.–China Trade Conflict on Georgia's Business Community.
  • Tax Strategies: Evaluate opportunities for first sale declarations and deconsolidating bundle payments for goods.
  • Operational Strategies: Evaluate current supply chains for supplier diversity and potential restructuring.
  • Manufacturers may utilize resources such as the Georgia Manufacturing Extension Partnership.
  • Advocacy Strategies: Continue to engage in proactive conversation with the Georgia Chamber, Georgia’s Congressional delegation, and federal partners including the U.S. Chamber of Commerce.
  • Georgia’s economy remains dynamic and resilient. By identifying new tax strategies and evaluating supply chain risks, Georgia businesses can work to mitigate risk and pivot to growth opportunities. Business leaders can consider identifying markets with lower geopolitical risk, investing in compliance capabilities to meet foreign regulatory demands, and forming strategic partnerships with local entities abroad for the purposes of maintaining market access.
  • ²Public Broadcasting Service, A timeline of Trump's tariff actions so far
  • ³National Public Radio, Trump Movie Tariff Confusion
  • ⁶Georgia Department of Economic Development
  • ⁷Georgia Department of Economic Development, Annual International Trade Report
  • The Georgia Chamber Foundation dedicates itself to producing in-depth economic analyses and actionable insights for Georgia’s businesses. Our mission is to develop policy, equip businesses, and foster economic development across the state, ensuring a prosperous future for all Georgians.

    To read our 2025 Economic Competitiveness Redbook click HERE.

    To read our most recent Quarterly Report click HERE.

    For guidance and insights on the latest issues, visit our Data Hub.
    Join us for our Future of Small Business event on June 18 at Fall Line Station in Macon, GA. Register now HERE.

    The 2025 Georgia state-level competition for the National Civics Bee will be held at the Carter Center on June 27. For more information, contact scamuso@gachamber.com.

    Georgia Chamber Global Trade Impact Survey

    We want to hear directly from Georgia businesses about how tariffs and trade shifts are impacting your operations. Please take a few minutes to complete our Georgia Chamber Global Trade Impact Survey and help inform our ongoing advocacy and policy recommendations. Your insights are essential as we work to support and protect Georgia's economic future.
    TAKE THE SURVEY